Knowledge Content Library
253
Decision Analysis for New Atherosclerosis Drug: Assessing Consistent Probabilities of Success for Drug Development Decision Analysis
Presented by Dave Swank (BristolMyersSquibb) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discussion of probability assessment and the use of sensitivity analysis to look for robustness in assessments.
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254
Impact of Manufacturing Strategy On Portfolio Prioritization
Presented by Jerry Ruhland (Baxter) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Example of incorporating analysis of manufacturing strategies into portfolio process.
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255
Convince or Persuade?
Presented by Ron Howard (Stanford) at 2010 DAAG Conference in Orlando. Discusses how a decision analyst's job is to provide people with an argument that will allow them to convince themselves
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245
An R&D Asset Development Decision Utilizing Lilly’s Quality Decision Process
Presented by Charles Persinger (Eli Lilly) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Description of Lilly's decision process.
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246
The Joint Improvised Explosive Device Defeat Organization (JIEDDO) Proposal Value Model
Presented by Jeff Weir, Ken Bauer, Shane Knighton (Air Force) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Multi-criteria decision analytic methods applied to selection of methods to defeat improvised explosive devices.
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242
Quantitative Benefit-Risk
Presented by James Felli (Eli Lilly) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Discussion of Lilly's quantitative benefit-risk model based on multi-criteria decision analytic methods.
243
Frame size matters in the public debate on mammography
Presented by Marilyn Metcalf at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Discussion of problem framing and its importance as more patients are drawn into the decision making process.
244
Using the Hippocratic Oath to Provide a Surrogate for Client Utility Functions
Presented by Robert F. Bordley (General Motors) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Example of how the Hippocratic Oath can be an accessible way to get at utility functions for some clients and patients.
239
From Discovery to Successful Implementation Predicting Organizational Change Preparedness
Presented by Phillip Decker (University of Houston) with Pat Leach, Christie McCormack, and David Skinner (Decision Strategies) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Discussion of organizational change management and its relationship to the success during implementation of projects.
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240
IT Investments can be Compared to Other Investments
Presented by Jerry Lieberman (Decision Strategies) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Discussion of how to capture the value of IT, comparable to other business investments.
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241
Retooling GM’s Culture
Presented by Rob Kleinbaum (RAK & Co) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Discussion of how an organization's culture is central to its decision making processes, with examples of culture in GM.
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236
Game Theory and Player Volatility
Presented by Niall Fraser (Open Options Corp.) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. This presentation explores the forces behind player volatility in the current economic crisis, and examines the case of IBM championing Linux in an environment of player volatility in 2001 - 2003.
237
Using Decision Analysis to Improve Efficiency
Presented by Steve Uhl (Macway Uhl) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Examples of using DA in project execution, applied to project scheduling issues.
238
Volatility, Recency Effects, and the Decision Maker
Presented by Larry Neal (Chevron) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Discussion of how extreme volatility in 2008-2009 affected decision makers, their trust in models and forecasting, and solutions to these issues within Chevron.
233
Best of Breed Portfolio Management -- Organizational Characteristics
Presented by Carl Spetzler (Strategic Decisions Group) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Description of what it takes to execute effective portfolio value management.
234
Intelligent Adversary Risk Analysis: Defender-Attacker-Defender Probabilistic Risk Analysis Models
Presented by Greg Parnell (Innovative Decisions) with Chris Smith and Fred Moxley (US Military Academy) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Description of fundamental structure of intelligent adversary risk analysis using probabilistic risk analysis and demonstration that decision trees can model the defender-attacker-defender structure.
235
Measuring Flow Rates for Projects in an R&D Portfolio: A Case Study
Presented by Jay Andersen (Eli Lilly) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Incorporation of the speed of project progress with the probability of project success to evaluate the "flow" of projects through the portfolio pipeline.
230
Using Decision Analysis to Select Strategic Partners
Presented by Hal Wilson (Department of Defense) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Example of multi-objective decision analysis applied to selecting the best foreign partners to help fulfill a capability gap, accounting for the benefit of establishing a partnership and the risk of losing capabilities.
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231
Prioritizing Terrorism Vulnerability Analyses for Critical Infrastructure Sectors
Presented by Don N. Kleinmuntz (Strata Decision Technology) and Henry Willis (RAND) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Portfolio and risk assessment methods applied to prioritizing infrastructure sectors by vulnerability to terrorism.
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232
Using Decision Analysis with the Operational Air Force
Presented by Stephen Chambal and Jeffrey Cochran (Air Force) at 2009 DAAG Conference in Indianapolis. Several examples of how Value Focused Thinking is used within the Air Force and other Department of Defense entities.
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